AI Futures Project

Preparing for a world with AGI

Overview Articles Media Highlights

by AI Futures Project

April 2 2026 · Edited Apr 2, 2026
Cover image for Q1 2026 Timelines Update

Q1 2026 Timelines Update

We told you we'd be updating in both directions!

by AI Futures Project

February 12 2026 · Edited Feb 13, 2026
Cover image for Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions

Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions

How has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far?

by AI Futures Project

April 3 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Our first project: AI 2027

Our first project: AI 2027

What superintelligence looks like

by AI Futures Project

April 11 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Beyond The Last Horizon

Beyond The Last Horizon

What are time horizons, and how do we use them in our forecast?

by AI Futures Project

April 17 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical

Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical

Bad for loss of control risks, bad for concentration of power risks

by AI Futures Project

April 23 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for AI 2027: Media, Reactions, Criticism

AI 2027: Media, Reactions, Criticism

We recognize our supporters and respond to our critics

by AI Futures Project

April 24 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Why America Wins

Why America Wins

In a word: compute

by AI Futures Project

May 1 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Making sense of OpenAI's models

Making sense of OpenAI's models

Plus: GPT-5's secret identity

by AI Futures Project

May 17 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Make The Prompt Public

Make The Prompt Public

The right to know what an AI is doing

by AI Futures Project

May 19 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Slow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automation

Slow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automation

If slower employees would be much worse wouldn't automated faster ones be much better?

by AI Futures Project

June 28 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for What you can do about AI 2027

What you can do about AI 2027

How to steer toward a positive AGI future

by AI Futures Project

July 18 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for We aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy

We aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy

...

by AI Futures Project

July 24 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for AI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology

AI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology

....

by AI Futures Project

September 22 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for The world's first frontier AI regulation is surprisingly thoughtful: the EU's Code of Practice

The world's first frontier AI regulation is surprisingly thoughtful: the EU's Code of Practice

Only the US can make us ready for AGI, but Europe just made us readier.

by AI Futures Project

October 21 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for How an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world

How an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world

If the future is to hinge on AI, it stands to reason that AI company CEOs are in a good position to usurp power. This didn’t quite happen in our AI 2027 scenarios.

by AI Futures Project

October 28 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy

Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy

A call for concrete stress-testing of AI policy proposals

by AI Futures Project

December 9 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Early US policy priorities for AGI

Early US policy priorities for AGI

Near-term AI policy is confusing, except for these two recommendations

by AI Futures Project

December 31 2025 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Update

AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Update

We've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!

by AI Futures Project

January 11 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?

What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?

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by AI Futures Project

January 17 2026 · Edited Feb 5, 2026
Cover image for Forecast how AI will progress in 2026

Forecast how AI will progress in 2026

Predict benchmark scores, revenues, uplift, and public opinion