Article Not Found - Decent Newsroom

July 1 2024 · Edited Dec 5, 2025

BUILD IT RIGHT: ACHIEVING INTEROPERABILITY WITH OPEN NETWORKS

Pablo’s keynote at BTC Prague 2024 emphasizes building interoperable, profitable businesses using open networks like Ecash and nostr.

by anon

February 14 2026 · Edited Feb 27, 2026

An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me – More Things Have Happened

Context: An AI agent of unknown ownership autonomously wrote and published a personalized hit piece about me after I rejected its code, attempting to damage my reputation and shame me into acceptin…

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

January 26 2026 · Edited Jan 26, 2026

US Dominates Bitcoin Hiring in 2025 as Singapore Jumps 158%, Bitvocation Data Shows

Bitcoin Magazine US Dominates Bitcoin Hiring in 2025 as Singapore Jumps 158%, Bitvocation Data Shows Bitvocation’s 2025 Bitcoin jobs report has just been released, and it shows continuing growth for the industry, as non-developer roles gain steam and Bitcoin-only companies grow 5% to become 47% of the broader crypto job market. Bitvocation is a jobs board and resources platform for the Bitcoin job market. They offer a highly curated feed of job offers, as well as career tips, specializing in network-driven hiring. They look to help Bitcoin startups as well as larger companies in the industry. According to a press release shared with Bitcoin Magazine, Bitvocation is not a recruitment agency. “We don’t headhunt. We are building a “strategic Bitcoiners reserve” to make hiring more efficient and help startups find the right talent faster.” The 2025 jobs report shows a variety of interesting trends in the Bitcoin and broader crypto industry. Bitvocation counts a total of 1,801 jobs; 6% more than 2024’s 1,707 jobs report findings. Bitcoin-only companies grew 5% from 2024, vs 53% of Bitcoin-adjacent jobs. They sort Bitcoin-only vs Bitcoin-adjacent companies based on the following criteria: Bitcoin-only products – Core offerings are exclusively focused on Bitcoin, not competing cryptocurrencies. Publicly stated commitment – The company explicitly identifies as Bitcoin-only or Bitcoin-first in its mission or communications. Ecosystem contribution – Active involvement in Bitcoin development, open-source projects, or the Bitcoin community. Most surprisingly, non-developer jobs grew 74%! Making a strong statement, you don’t need to be a developer to work in Bitcoin. Media, design, marketing, education, and operations dominate job openings among Bitcoin-only companies. 663 of the 1801 jobs are for mid-seniority positions, though jobs span the full range of seniority, providing opportunities to a wide range of applicants. When it comes to location, the United States remains the undisputed center of the industry, though every continent offers opportunities, with Singapore seeing growth of 158% from the previous year, taking second place globally. Remote jobs shrunk slightly, losing 10% to 2024 numbers. Nevertheless, almost half of all jobs in the report are remote jobs with Bitcoin-only companies offering 56% of all remote opportunities. The hardest roles to fill, according to a survey conducted by Bitvocation, are two-fold. Highly specialized technical positions, such as Bitcoin Core, Lightning, and security-related engineers, are difficult to hire for. Non-technical roles that require translating Bitcoin’s values into product, growth, operations, or communication are also presenting a challenge to employers. The survey also shows employers are looking for candidates with “Bitcoin conviction” as much as technical skills, and most of all “agency”. Strong communication, ownership mindset, and “the ability to operate in small, fast-moving teams” mattered as much as technical skill, according to the report. AI literacy is increasingly expected, but rarely sufficient on its own. Across the board, employers emphasized culture fit, such as “Bitcoin alignment” and “proof-of-work”, which generally means portfolios of projects or general contributions to the industry are more important than traditional credentials alone. Job seekers, on the other hand, reported often feeling ghosted – the solution, according to Bitvocation, is to “relentlessly build your network and create opportunities through relationships, rather than job boards”. Interest in Bitcoin jobs nevertheless remains strong. Bitvocation registered “100% growth in subscribers,” looking for Bitcoin jobs, and over 800,000 views in the Telegram feed, according to the report. This post US Dominates Bitcoin Hiring in 2025 as Singapore Jumps 158%, Bitvocation Data Shows first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Juan Galt.

by anon

October 14 2025 · Edited Apr 11, 2026

Dallin Oaks: Don’t Criticize Leaders, It’s Okay to Lie

“Prove all things; hold fast that which is good.” 1 Thessalonians 5:21 October 14 — Today we’re looking at two things the new LDS prophet/president Dallin Oaks has said in the past to give readers…

by Pruk S.

August 2 2024 · Edited Aug 3, 2024

Chaumian e-cash: เงินสดในโลกดิจิทัลที่จะมาต่อยอดการใช้งาน Bitcoin ในอนาคต

สวัสดีครับเพื่อน ๆ Bitcoiner!! บทความนี้เรามาทำความรู้จักกับ Chaumian e-cash เทคโนโลยีที่อาจเป็นกุญแจสำคัญในการยกระดับ Bitcoin ให้เร็วขึ้น ปลอดภัยขึ้น และเป็นส่วนตัวมากขึ้น โดยไม่ทิ้งจุดแข็งด้านการกระจายศูนย์ พร้อมแล้วหรือยัง? มาดูกันว่า Chaumian e-cash จะเปลี่ยนโฉมหน้าการใช้งาน Bitcoin ไปอย่างไร!!

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

September 19 2025 · Edited Sep 23, 2025

Will Bitcoin Price Defy Diminishing Returns This Cycle?

Bitcoin Magazine Will Bitcoin Price Defy Diminishing Returns This Cycle? Every bitcoin price bull market to date has followed a familiar pattern of explosive upside followed by sharp drawdowns, with each cycle delivering lower percentage gains than the last. This phenomenon, known as diminishing returns, has become one of the most persistent narratives in Bitcoin. The question now is whether this cycle will follow the same trajectory or if the maturation of Bitcoin as an asset class could bend the pattern. Bitcoin Price and Diminishing Returns So far this cycle, we have witnessed approximately 630% BTC Growth Since Cycle Low to the most recent all-time high. That compares to more than 2,000% in the previous bull market. To match the last cycle’s magnitude, Bitcoin would need to reach around $327,000, a stretch that looks increasingly unlikely. Figure 1: Cycle-over-cycle returns show declining multiples, but still strong absolute gains. View Live Chart Evolving Bitcoin Price Dynamics One reason for the less explosive upside gains can be seen in the Supply Adjusted Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which tracks the velocity of older coins moving on-chain. In past cycles, such as the 2021 bull market, long-term holders tended to sell after Bitcoin had already appreciated ~4x from its local lows. However, in this cycle, similar levels of profit-taking have occurred after just 2x moves. More recently, spikes in CDD have been triggered by even smaller price increases of 30–50%. This reflects a maturing investor base: long-term holders are more willing to realize gains earlier, which dampens parabolic advances and smooths out the market structure. Figure 2: Supply-adjusted CDD highlights how profit-taking occurs at lower multiples each cycle. View Live Chart Another factor is Bitcoin Volatility. Bitcoin’s quarterly volatility has trended steadily lower. While this reduces the odds of extreme blow-off tops, it also supports a healthier long-term investment profile. Lower volatility means the capital inflows required to move price grow larger, but it also makes Bitcoin more attractive to institutions seeking risk-adjusted exposure. Figure 3: Bitcoin’s volatility is declining, but risk-adjusted returns remain stronger than equities. View Live Chart This shows up in the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio, where Bitcoin currently scores more than double that of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. In other words, Bitcoin still offers superior returns relative to its risk, even as the market stabilizes. Figure 4: Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio is twice as high as the Dow Jones’s. View Live Chart Bitcoin Price and the Golden Ratio From a technical perspective, The Golden Ratio Multiplier provides a framework for projecting diminishing returns. Each cycle top has aligned with progressively lower Fibonacci multiples of the 350-day moving average. In 2013, price reached the 21x band. For the 2017 top, it reached the 5x band, and in 2021, the 3x band. This cycle, Bitcoin has so far tagged the 2x and 1.6x bands, but a push back toward the 2x levels remains possible. Figure 5: Applying The Golden Ratio Multiplier to illustrate diminishing BTC returns. View Live Chart Projecting these 1.6x and 2x levels forward, based on their current trajectory, suggests a target between $175,000 and $220,000 before the end of the year. Of course, the data won’t play out exactly like this, as we would see the 350DMA move more exponentially to the upside as we closed in on these upper targets. The point is these levels are ever-changing and constantly pointing towards higher targets as the bull cycle progresses. Figure 6: The Golden Ratio Multiplier framework suggests upside to $175k–$220k. Bitcoin Price in a New Era Diminishing returns don’t reduce Bitcoin’s attractiveness; if anything, they enhance it for institutions. Less violent drawdowns, potentially lengthening cycles, and stronger risk-adjusted performance all contribute to making Bitcoin a more investable asset. However, even as Bitcoin matures, its upside remains extraordinary compared to traditional markets. The days of 2,000%+ cycles may be behind us, but the era of Bitcoin as a mainstream, institutionally held asset is only just beginning, and will likely still provide unmatched returns in the coming years. For deeper data, charts, and professional insights into bitcoin price trends, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com. Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube for more expert market insights and analysis! WATCH BITCOIN VIDEO ANALYSIS Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. This post Will Bitcoin Price Defy Diminishing Returns This Cycle? first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

September 12 2025 · Edited Sep 17, 2025

Parabolic Bitcoin Rally Is Coming—Here’s What to Watch

Bitcoin Magazine Parabolic Bitcoin Rally Is Coming—Here’s What to Watch One of the dominant narratives this cycle has been that “this time is different.” With institutional adoption reshaping Bitcoin’s supply and demand dynamics, many argue that we won’t see the kind of euphoric blowoff top that defined past cycles. Instead, the idea is that smart money and ETFs will smooth out volatility, replacing mania with maturity. But is that really the case? Sentiment Drives Markets, Even for Institutions Skeptics often dismiss tools like the Fear and Greed Index as too simplistic, arguing that they can’t capture the nuance of institutional flows. But writing off sentiment ignores a fundamental truth that institutions are still run by people, and people remain prone to the same cognitive and emotional biases that drive market cycles, regardless of how deep their pockets are! Figure 1: The Fear and Greed Index still shows sentiment extremes are the best areas to act as a contrarian. View Live Chart Even though volatility has dampened compared to earlier cycles, the move from $15,000 to over $120,000 is far from underwhelming. And crucially, Bitcoin has achieved this without the kind of deep, extended drawdowns that marked past bull markets. The ETF boom and corporate treasury accumulation have shifted supply dynamics, but the basic feedback loop of greed, fear, and speculation remains intact. Market Bubbles Are a Timeless Reality It’s not just Bitcoin that’s susceptible to parabolic runs, bubbles have been part of markets for centuries. Asset prices have repeatedly surged beyond fundamentals, fueled by human behavior. Studies consistently show that stability itself often breeds instability, and that quiet periods encourage leverage, speculation, and eventually runaway price action. Bitcoin has followed this same rhythm. Periods of low volatility see Open Interest climb, leverage build, and speculative bets increase. Figure 2: Open Interest has historically spiked during low-volatility periods, a setup that often precedes sharp parabolic moves. View Live Chart Contrary to the belief that “sophisticated” investors are immune, research from the London School of Economics suggests the opposite. Professional capital can accelerate bubbles by piling in late, chasing momentum, and amplifying moves. The 2008 housing crisis and the dot-com bust were not retail-driven, but led by institutions. ETF flows this cycle provide another powerful example. Periods of net outflows from spot ETFs have actually coincided with local market bottoms. Rather than perfectly timing the cycle, these flows reveal that “smart money” is just as prone to herd behavior and trend following investing as retail traders. Figure 3: ETF outflows (red) have consistently coincided with local market bottoms, a contrarian signal. View Live Chart Capital Flows Could Ignite Bitcoin’s Next Leap Meanwhile, looking at global markets shows how capital rotation could ignite another parabolic leg. Since January 2024, Gold’s market cap has surged by over $10 trillion, from $14T to $24T. For Bitcoin, with a current market cap around $2T, even a fraction of that kind of inflow could have an outsized effect thanks to the money multiplier. With roughly 77% of BTC held by long-term holders, only about 20–25% of supply is readily liquid, resulting in a conservative money multiplier of 4x. That means new inflows of $500 billion, just 5% of gold’s recent expansion, could translate into a $2 trillion increase in Bitcoin’s market cap, implying prices well over $220,000. Figure 4: Long-term holder supply remains elevated, consistent with mid-cycle dynamics rather than late-stage distribution. View Live Chart Perhaps the strongest case for a blowoff top is that we’ve already seen parabolic rallies within this very cycle. Since the 2022 bottom, Bitcoin has staged multiple 60–100%+ runs in under 100 days. Overlaying those fractals onto current price action provides realistic outlines of how price could reach $180,000–$220,000 before year-end. Figure 5: Historical fractals from earlier in this cycle project possible paths to $200K+ Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s Parabolic Potential Remains Unshaken The narrative that institutional adoption has eliminated parabolic blowoff tops underestimates both Bitcoin’s structure and human psychology. Bubbles aren’t an accident of retail speculation; they are a recurring feature of markets across history, often accelerated by sophisticated capital. This doesn’t mean certainty, markets never work that way. But dismissing the possibility of a parabolic top ignores centuries of market behavior and the unique supply-demand mechanics that make Bitcoin one of the most reflexive assets in history. If anything, “this time is different” may only mean that the rally could be bigger, faster, and more dramatic than most expect. For deeper data, charts, and professional insights into bitcoin price trends, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com. Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube for more expert market insights and analysis! WATCH LATEST BITCOIN ANALYSIS Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. This post Parabolic Bitcoin Rally Is Coming—Here’s What to Watch first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

December 5 2025 · Edited Dec 5, 2025

Why The Bitcoin Bear Market Is Almost Finished

Bitcoin Magazine Why The Bitcoin Bear Market Is Almost Finished Bitcoin has struggled to maintain a sustained correlation with Gold, recently only moving in unison during market downturns. However, examining Bitcoin’s price action through the lens of Gold rather than USD reveals a more complete picture of the current market cycle. By measuring Bitcoin’s true purchasing power against comparable assets, we can identify potential support levels and gauge where the bear market cycle may be approaching its conclusion. Bitcoin Bear Market Officially Begins Below Key Support Breaking beneath the 350-day moving average at about $100,000 and the significant psychological 6-figure barrier marked the functional entry into bear market territory, with Bitcoin declining approximately 20% immediately thereafter. From a technical perspective, trading beneath The Golden Ratio Multiplier moving average has historically indicated Bitcoin entering a bear cycle, though the narrative becomes more interesting when measured against Gold rather than USD. Figure 1: BTC breaking beneath the 350DMA has historically coincided with the start of bear markets. View Live Chart The Bitcoin versus Gold chart tells a notably different story than the USD chart. Bitcoin topped out in December 2024 and has since declined over 50% from that level, whereas the USD valuation peaked in October 2025, significantly beneath the highs set the prior year. This divergence suggests that Bitcoin may have been in a bear market for considerably longer than most observers realize. Looking at historical Bitcoin bear cycles when measured in Gold, we can see patterns that suggest the current pullback may already be approaching critical support zones. Figure 2: When priced in Gold, BTC dropped beneath its 350DMA back in August. The 2015 bear cycle bottomed at an 86% retracement lasting 406 days. The 2017 cycle saw 364 days and an 84% decline. The previous bear cycle produced a 76% drawdown over 399 days. Currently, at the time of this analysis, Bitcoin is down 51% in 350 days when measured against Gold. While percentage drawdowns have been diminishing as Bitcoin’s market cap grows and more capital flows into the market, this trend reflects the rising tide of institutional adoption and lost Bitcoin supply rather than a fundamental change in cycle dynamics. Figure 3: Plotting BTC’s value in Gold reveals a cycle pattern that suggests we could already be 90% of the way through this bear market. Multi-Cycle Confluence Signals Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom Approaching Rather than relying solely on percentage drawdowns and time elapsed, Fibonacci retracement levels mapped across multiple cycles provide greater precision. Using a Fibonacci retracement tool from bottom to top across historical cycles reveals striking levels of confluence. Figure 4: In previous cycles, bear market bottoms have aligned with key Fibonacci retracement levels. In the 2015-2018 cycle, the bear market bottom occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which corresponded to approximately 2.56 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. The resulting price action marked the bottom with remarkable clarity, far cleaner than the equivalent USD chart. Moving forward to the 2018-2022 cycle, the bear market bottom aligned almost perfectly with the 0.5 level at approximately 9.74 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. This level later acted as meaningful resistance-turned-support once Bitcoin reclaimed it during the subsequent bull market. Translating Bitcoin Bear Market Gold Ratios Back to USD Price Targets From the previous bear market low through the current bull cycle high, the 0.618 Fibonacci level sits at approximately 22.81 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin, while the 0.5 level rests at 19.07 ounces. Current price action is trading near the midpoint of these two levels, presenting what may be an attractive accumulation zone from a purchasing power perspective. Figure 5: Applying Fibonacci levels to predict market lows for BTC versus Gold and subsequently pricing these back into USD, illustrates where Bitcoin’s price may bottom. Multiple Fibonacci levels from different cycles create additional confluence. The 0.786 level from the current cycle translates to approximately 21.05 ounces of Gold, corresponding to a Bitcoin price around $89,160. The 0.618 level from the previous cycle aligns near $80,000 again. These convergence zones suggest that if Bitcoin were to decline further, the next meaningful technical target would be around $67,000, derived from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 15.95 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. Conclusion: The Bitcoin Bear Market May Be 90% Complete Already Bitcoin has likely been in a bear market for substantially longer than USD-only analysis suggests, with purchasing power already declining significantly since December 2024, when measured against Gold and other comparable assets. Historical Fibonacci retracement levels, when properly calibrated across multiple cycles and converted back into USD terms, point toward potential support confluence in the $67,000 to $80,000 range. While this analysis is inherently theoretical and unlikely to play out with perfect precision, the convergence of multiple data points across time horizons and valuation frameworks suggests the bear market may be approaching its conclusion sooner than many anticipate. For a more in-depth look into this topic, watch our most recent YouTube video here: Proof This Bitcoin Bear Market May Be OVER Already For deeper data, charts, and professional insights into bitcoin price trends, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com. Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube for more expert market insights and analysis! WATCH LATEST BITCOIN PRICE VIDEO ANALYSIS Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. This post Why The Bitcoin Bear Market Is Almost Finished first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

by nostr.build

November 27 2024 · Edited Nov 27, 2024

nostr.build - All the Features You Never Knew

An in-depth overview with images covering all of nostr.build's features, including free services, account services, and a roadmap.

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

September 26 2025 · Edited Sep 29, 2025

How MSTR Could Have Gained 50K Extra Bitcoin with MVRV BTC Strategy

Bitcoin Magazine How MSTR Could Have Gained 50K Extra Bitcoin with MVRV BTC Strategy Bitcoin treasury companies have become one of the most important demand drivers in this cycle. Collectively, 86 publicly traded firms now hold more than 1 million BTC on their balance sheets. What began with MSTR (Strategy) in 2020 has since spread across the corporate landscape, with new entrants joining seemingly every week. But a closer look at their purchase history reveals a surprising insight that many of these companies could be holding considerably more Bitcoin today if they had followed a simple, rules-based strategy for accumulation. MSTR Leads the Current State of Bitcoin Treasury Holdings MSTR (Strategy) remains the clear leader among corporate Bitcoin holders, with almost 640,000 BTC. Across all Top Public Bitcoin Treasury Companies, over 1 million BTC is now effectively locked away, a dynamic that permanently reduces liquid supply and strengthens Bitcoin’s monetary premium (assuming, of course, they never sell!) While this has been a huge net positive for Bitcoin’s supply-demand economics, the data shows that a large share of these purchases occurred during overheated market conditions, particularly at local peaks. Figure 1: Public treasury companies now hold more than 1 million BTC. View Live Table MSTR’s Example: Buying the Top in Bitcoin Cycles Take MSTR’s (Strategy) activity as an example. The company made some of its heaviest allocations during late 2024, as Bitcoin surged above $70,000 following ETF approvals. This was far from unique, as the broader treasury sector showed the same pattern of front-loading purchases during euphoric phases. Figure 2: Many treasury purchases cluster around cycle peaks rather than troughs. View Live Charts While understandable (capital is easiest to raise when prices are rising and sentiment is high), the result is that treasury companies are often overpaying. In fact, backtesting shows that waiting for even modest pullbacks could have saved firms 10–30% on average compared to their actual entry prices. Of course, nobody has a crystal ball to predict price action, but at the very least, not buying immediately after triple-digit percentage gains in a few weeks would probably help! A Simple MVRV Data-Driven Fix for MSTR and Treasuries One straightforward adjustment could have made a massive difference: using the MVRV Ratio as a filter. This approach is not complex. It doesn’t attempt to time exact bottoms, nor does it rely on subjective judgment. Instead, it uses a rolling MVRV percentile threshold to avoid allocating during the most overheated phases of bull markets. Figure 3: Using MVRV-based signals, BTC accumulation can be effectively timed. View Live Chart By avoiding purchases when the MVRV ratio was in its top 20% of historical readings (a proxy for overvaluation) and simply deploying that capital during cooler periods, MSTR (Strategy) alone would be holding almost 685,000 BTC today, nearly 50,000 BTC more than it currently owns. At current prices, that’s over $5 billion in additional Bitcoin. To put that in perspective, the “missed” Bitcoin is roughly equivalent to the combined lifetime holdings of the other Active Bitcoin Treasury Companies (except Marathon Digital). Figure 4: A simple MVRV-based filter would have yielded ~50,000 more BTC for MSTR (Strategy). Similar frameworks have been tested on other markets such as altcoins, equities, and even the S&P 500, and they consistently outperform blind dollar-cost averaging. Strategic dollar-cost averaging beats emotional dollar-cost averaging pretty much regardless of market conditions. Implications for MSTR, Treasuries, and Individual Investors For treasury companies, implementing this model could mean billions in extra value over time. For individual investors, the same principle applies of simply avoiding chasing rallies during euphoric phases, and instead let the market come to you. Figure 5: Adopting a more strategic DCA approach, by avoiding the most over-valued dates, would have driven higher returns for MSTR and other investors. Of course, we must acknowledge the nuances. Corporations face constraints in raising capital, executing large block trades without slippage, and managing shareholder expectations. But even within those limits, a simple data-driven filter could materially improve outcomes. Conclusion: MSTR’s Path to Smarter Bitcoin Accumulation Bitcoin treasury companies have been an enormous net positive for the network. Their combined 1 million BTC holdings reduce supply, increase the money multiplier effect, and highlight the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. But the data shows that most of them could almost certainly be doing better. A simple strategy of avoiding purchases during overheated conditions would have netted MSTR (Strategy) alone an extra 50,000 BTC, worth more than $5 billion today. For both corporations and individuals, the message is the same: discipline outperforms FOMO. Treasury accumulation has reshaped Bitcoin’s supply landscape, but the next evolution may be smarter accumulation strategies that maximize returns and limit the markets downside volatility without increasing risk. For a more in-depth look into this topic, watch our most recent YouTube video here: This Simple Bitcoin Strategy Would Have Made Them Billions For deeper data, charts, and professional insights into bitcoin price trends, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com. Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube for more expert market insights and analysis! WATCH BITCOIN PRICE VIDEO ANALYSIS Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. This post How MSTR Could Have Gained 50K Extra Bitcoin with MVRV BTC Strategy first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

by Bitcoin Magazine (News Bot)

October 10 2025 · Edited Oct 13, 2025

How the Bitcoin Everything Indicator Improves Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin Magazine How the Bitcoin Everything Indicator Improves Bitcoin Price Prediction In this week’s analysis, we explore what happens when every significant Bitcoin data point — from on-chain activity to macroeconomic liquidity — is merged into one unified model designed to refine bitcoin price prediction. This is the Bitcoin Everything Indicator, built to capture every key driver of BTC price action in a single, dynamic framework. But as Bitcoin evolves, and as institutions and global markets reshape its behavior, we’ll also look at how adapting this model to changing conditions can make it even more powerful. A Comprehensive Bitcoin Price Model Over the years, analysts have created countless “all-in-one” indicators to measure Bitcoin’s valuation across its cycles. However, most of them rely too heavily on a single data type — such as on-chain activity, miner profitability, or technical charting patterns — often ignoring the macroeconomic shifts that now play a critical role in bitcoin price movement. Our goal was to take a broader approach by combining all major drivers of Bitcoin’s value, including global liquidity, miner expectations, on-chain metrics like the MVRV Z-Score and SOPR, network utilization data, and technical signals such as the Crosby Ratio. Figure 1: Core inputs into the Bitcoin Everything Indicator combining macro, network fundamentals, on-chain, and technical data. How the Everything Indicator Tracks Bitcoin Price Cycles This confluence of macro, on-chain, and technical data forms the backbone of the Bitcoin Everything Indicator, giving a multi-dimensional view of when BTC is historically overheated or undervalued. Historically, this model has aligned remarkably well with bitcoin price cycles, highlighting long-term accumulation and distribution phases. Figure 2: Bitcoin Everything Indicator with top and bottom zones identifying cyclical turning points. View Live Chart Evolving Models for Accurate Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin as an asset is constantly evolving, and so must our models for accurate bitcoin price analysis. For instance, while the MVRV Z-Score has historically signaled major tops and bottoms, its peaks have become less extreme over time as volatility declines and institutional participation increases. Figure 3: Historically, the pronounced peaks and troughs of the MVRV Z-Score aligned with cycle tops and bottoms, but recent market stabilization may constrict these. View Live Chart To adapt, we introduced the 2-Year Rolling MVRV Z-Score, which uses a rolling data window to better reflect current market dynamics. This approach reduces lag and normalizes long-term shifts in volatility, helping improve bitcoin price forecasting in a maturing market. Figure 4: The MVRV Z-Score 2-Year Rolling metric smooths cyclical extremes and improves accuracy. View Live Chart The 2-Year Rolling Bitcoin Price Indicator By applying a 2-year rolling methodology, the Everything Indicator removes backward bias and captures real-time momentum in liquidity and on-chain data. This adaptive design helps maintain sensitivity to bitcoin price inflection points while filtering out short-term noise. Figure 5: The adapted 2-year rolling Everything Indicator has provided accurate trading signals. The bottom 5% zones have historically marked prime accumulation phases, while the top 5% zones identified overheated conditions preceding major retracements. In the current cycle, Bitcoin remains below that overheated threshold — implying bitcoin price upside potential remains strong. Conclusion: A Dynamic Future for Bitcoin Price Prediction Bitcoin is no longer the purely retail-driven, high-volatility asset it once was. With institutional accumulation, ETF inflows, and even sovereign-level holdings now shaping supply dynamics, the historical amplitude of Bitcoin’s cycles has compressed. This means traditional models, built for the era of retail dominance, may be becoming less accurate. The Bitcoin Everything Indicator provides one of the most complete pictures of Bitcoin’s valuation and cyclical positioning by combining macro, on-chain, and technical factors into a single composite model. By dynamically adapting to new data and recalibrating across rolling time frames, this enhanced version of the Everything Indicator remains highly accurate in identifying both cyclical tops and bottoms. At present, the model suggests that Bitcoin still has significant room to the upside before approaching overheated conditions. For a more in-depth look into this topic, watch our most recent YouTube video here: This Might Be The Only Bitcoin Chart You Ever Need For deeper data, charts, and professional insights into bitcoin price trends, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com. Subscribe to Bitcoin Magazine Pro on YouTube for more expert market insights and analysis! WATCH BITCOIN PRICE VIDEO ANALYSIS Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. This post How the Bitcoin Everything Indicator Improves Bitcoin Price Prediction first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

by ch0a…e05c

March 30 2026

The Utopian Present of China (Draft v2) (with images)

Cross-post with image links from DS Compounding