Another round of patience
- On identity between time preference and interest
- On expected appreciation
- On Rothbard and Crusoe
- Where we disagree
Thank you for the thorough response. Your engagement tackled the argument head-on and brought precise definitions to bear. You grounded the analysis in Rothbard’s framework.
I think the crux turns on your position regarding hoarding. You argue “if time preference is universal, then hoarding demonstrates time preference.” My counter: hoarding demonstrates something entirely different—preference for present possession.
On identity between time preference and interest
I want to carefully separate time preference from interest. If I refuse all offered rates, I hold capital at every price currently available. This indicates present possession of such force that no future premium compensates. This reflects high time preference in the traditional sense. You could argue the hoarder lacked sufficient rate offers. That’s a fair point.
On expected appreciation
The hoarder might expect appreciation. Money held might become more valuable. If I expect Bitcoin to 10x, my willingness to hold reflects expected appreciation, not time preference in the consumption sense. This operates as an entirely separate phenomenon from preferring consumption now versus later.
On Rothbard and Crusoe
Rothbard’s Crusoe analysis isolates time preference between eating now and eating later—the consumption case in its purest form. Money separates eating from production, obscuring the question. When money is held, the question becomes: what does holding express about the holder’s time preference?
Where we disagree
You treat time preference as a catch-all category encompassing all preference orderings. I argue it refers specifically to preferences over time horizons in consumption or production. The hoarder’s preference for present possession occupies a different logical space. It’s preference for optionality—the ability to choose consumption timing later.
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