The ageing loop and how birth rates could get even worse

The more resources, time and money, non-dependent individuals have to dedicate to the elderly (dependents), the less they can allocate to producing new births (also dependents).

Issues opened for WalletScrutiny ...

Clarifying how our AI timelines forecasts have changed since AI 2027

Correcting common misunderstandings

June 2025 Update

Closing in on 17k merchants and a lightning-fast integration with Blink wallet. 👀

Using R/anomalize to identify delays in games of Australian Rules football

In which we generate a dataset of game durations, do a little exploratory data analysis and then try to identify unusual instances and their causes. In my Twitter-whinge-post, I mentioned that one of

Nostr Compass Podcast #3

Church of Jesus Christ Sues John Dehlin, Ex-Mormon Host of “Mormon Stories” Podcast

A federal trademark and copyright lawsuit against John Dehlin's Mormon Stories podcast explained — the allegations, the disclaimer dispute, and what happens next.

Die Eloi

Wer dem Staat und seinem Konsenskonglomerat unter Corona glaubte, wurde von Kritikern nicht selten verspottet. Kaum ändert sich das Narrativ zu deren Gunsten, folgen besagte Kritiker aber den gleichen Sirenen. Obwohl die Indizienlage auch jetzt eindeutig ist. Wer glauben will, ist gegenläufigen Informationen eben nicht zugänglich – und davon gibt es in Bezug auf Musk und Trump eine ganze Menge.

SARS-CoV-2-Spike-Wirksamkeit und Mortalität in Deutschland - MWGFD

veröffentlicht am 02.07.2025; ein Gastbeitrag von Dr. Karla Lehmann Wie verhält sich die COVID-19-Mortalität zur Sterblichkeit infolge der Corona-„Impfung“? Dr. Karla Lehmann, Fachärztin für Pharmakologie und Toxikologie, hat die Zahlen verglichen. von Dr. Karla Lehmann (Gastautorin) SARS-CoV-2 Viren verfügen über eine Corona von Spikes, die für das Andocken an menschliche Wirtszellen und damit für alle […]Der Beitrag SARS-CoV-2-Spike-Wirksamkeit und Mortalität in Deutschland erschien zuerst auf MWGFD.

Friss hírek a Zúnióból

Az Európai Bizottság új tervet jelentett be, amely korlátozza az Oroszországból származó urán, dúsított urán és más nukleáris anyagok új beszerzési szerződéseit. A cél, hogy az EU teljesen megszüntesse az orosz energiától való függőségét, miközben biztosítja az energiaellátás stabilitását. Az EU-tagállamoknak 2025 végéig kell kidolgozniuk, hogyan szüntetik meg az orosz gáz, olaj és nukleáris energia importját. Az intézkedések részeként az orosz energia fokozatosan kivezetésre kerül az uniós piacokról, és az EU tovább gyorsítja az átállást a tiszta energiára.

Bitcoin Price Struggled in 2025, but Long-Term Lows Show a Strong and Rising Floor

Bitcoin Magazine Bitcoin Price Struggled in 2025, but Long-Term Lows Show a Strong and Rising Floor Bitcoin’s price action in 2025 pointed to a market shaped less by speculative and impulsive excess and more by macro forces. The bitcoin price traded through a wide range last year. According to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data, bitcoin rallied above $126,000 during mid-to-late-year advances fueled by ETF inflows and optimism around U.S. regulatory clarity. Those highs did not hold. By the fourth quarter, tighter financial conditions and elevated real yields weighed on risk assets. The bitcoin price slid sharply from its peak and ended the year near $87,000. It is on track for its first full-year decline since 2022. While the drop from the highs was steep and can feel negative, longer-term charts tell a different, more bullish, story. Bitcoin’s yearly lows continued to trend higher. Data shows the yearly low rose from $366 in 2016 to $76,329 in 2025. Each major cycle has set a higher floor despite deep drawdowns along the way. The pattern held after major downturns in 2018 and 2022. In both cases, bitcoin later established higher yearly lows. The 2025 low stands well above prior cycle troughs, even after a volatile year. #Bitcoin yearly lows: 2016: $366 2017: $788 2018: $3,185 2019: $3,359 2020: $4,959 2021: $29,381 2022: $15,758 2023: $16,607 2024: $39,447 2025: $76,329 Zoom out. pic.twitter.com/ch0aj6SIfY — Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) January 2, 2026 The gap between yearly highs and lows widened in 2025. That spread reflects persistent volatility and rapid shifts in sentiment. It also highlights a market still adjusting to its growing size and popularity. Analysts say the rising floor suggests deeper capital support than in past cycles. Long-term holders have shown greater willingness to accumulate during declines. Forced selling has remained concentrated during brief liquidation events rather than extended crashes. Macro conditions played a central role throughout the year. Inflation remained sticky. Central banks kept policy restrictive longer than expected. That backdrop favored yield-bearing assets and pressured speculative positioning. The bitcoin price’s correlation with broader risk markets increased. Price movements tracked equities more closely, especially during U.S. trading hours. Late in the year, crypto assets often sold off while American stocks were open. That pattern showed signs of shifting as 2026 began. The bitcoin price climbed above $90,000 during early U.S. trading sessions. October 10: Bitcoin price’s humbling ‘down to earth’ moment Still, the defining moment of 2025 came earlier. On Oct. 10, the bitcoin price suffered a massive and sharp intraday plunge of roughly $12,000. The move triggered billions of dollars in liquidations across derivatives markets. Total crypto market capitalization fell sharply in a single session. The selloff set the stage for a prolonged pullback that is still being felt in the broader crypto market. Within weeks, bitcoin was trading more than 30% below its peak near $126,000. The decline erased much of the optimism that had dominated forecasts at the start of the year. Entering 2025, price targets were aggressive. Many analysts and executives expected a sustained breakout well beyond prior highs. ETF inflows and institutional adoption formed the core of most bullish theses. Those expectations failed to materialize. ETF demand absorbed supply but did not spark reflexive rallies. Liquidity conditions remained tight. Leverage repeatedly capped upside moves. By year-end, the gap between forecasts and realized prices was clear. Bitcoin closed far below even the more conservative projections made earlier in the year. Despite that, the yearly lows chart should attract attention and comforting thoughts. The steady yearly lows reflect a maturing market. Bitcoin is larger, more regulated, and more integrated into global markets than during prior cycles. That structure may limit explosive rallies but also reduce the risk of total collapse. The data suggests one clear trend. Even in a year marked by sharp corrections and unmet expectations, bitcoin price’s long-term floor will rise. The bitcoin price is trading at $90,321, up 3% in the past 24 hours, with a market cap of $1.81 trillion and a 24-hour volume of $46 billion. Its price is near its 7-day high of $90,789 and 3% above its 7-day low of $87,967, with 19.97 million BTC in circulation out of a 21 million max supply. This post Bitcoin Price Struggled in 2025, but Long-Term Lows Show a Strong and Rising Floor first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

From $5 to $75,000: Bitcoin’s Saint Patrick’s Day Prices Shows You the Wild Ride of Bitcoin

Bitcoin Magazine From $5 to $75,000: Bitcoin’s Saint Patrick’s Day Prices Shows You the Wild Ride of Bitcoin Bitcoin’s rise from an obscure digital asset to a global financial instrument is again in focus this St. Patrick’s Day. On March 17, 2012, Bitcoin traded near $5. Thirteen years later, it has reached roughly $75,000. This is a massive expansion driven by increasing demand and a fixed supply model. Bitcoin’s early years were defined by sharp price swings and thin liquidity. In 2013, the asset surged from under $50 to more than $600 before retracing below $300 by 2015. These cycles repeated over time, with each rally followed by a correction. In 2017, Bitcoin crossed $1,000 and later accelerated higher before entering another downturn. By 2021, it had climbed past $50,000 as institutional participation began to take shape. Pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 tested conviction, but the broader trend remained intact. In late 2025, BTC surged above $125,000 before pulling back to $60,000 earlier this year. Each cycle introduced new participants and strengthened market infrastructure, contributing to a more resilient asset over time. Historical Bitcoin prices on Saint Patrick's Day 2012 $5.34 2013: $47 2014: $630 2015: $290 2016: $417 2017: $1,180 2018: $8,321 2019: $4,047 2020: $5,002 2021: $56,825 2022: $41,140 2023: $26,876 2024: $68,845 2025: $83,223 2026: $74,590 HODL pic.twitter.com/8LMFUGZkpX — Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) March 17, 2026 Institutional access is growing despite Bitcoin’s fixed supply One of the most significant developments in the current cycle is the expansion of institutional access. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States have created a direct pathway for large pools of capital to enter the market. These products have recorded sustained inflows, including single-day totals exceeding $500 million, reflecting strong demand from asset managers, pension funds and retail brokerage accounts. The result is a steady accumulation of BTC within regulated investment vehicles. As more capital flows through these channels, available supply on exchanges has tightened, reinforcing upward pressure on price. Bitcoin’s monetary policy continues to differentiate it from traditional assets. The protocol enforces a hard cap of 21 million coins, limiting total supply regardless of demand conditions. This scarcity is reinforced through halving events, which reduce the rate of new issuance. The most recent halving in April 2024 cut block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, lowering the number of new coins entering circulation each day. Historically, these supply shocks have preceded major upward moves, as reduced issuance meets sustained or increasing demand. Corporate and traditional finance interest Beyond financial markets, Bitcoin has gained traction among corporations and policymakers. Public companies have continued adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, treating it as a reserve asset rather than a speculative position. Most popular of all these is Strategy, the bitcoin treasury company led by executive chairman Michael Saylor. The company purchased another 22,337 bitcoin for about $1.57 billion last week, continuing one of the largest corporate accumulation strategies in the crypto market. The acquisition brings the firm’s total holdings to 761,068 bitcoin. Strategy said its cumulative BTC holdings were acquired for roughly $57.61 billion at an average price of about $75,696 per coin. The stash represents more than 3.4% of the fixed 21 million supply of BTC, reinforcing MSTR’s status as the largest corporate holder of the asset. Bitcoin’s changing market structure Bitcoin’s market structure is shifting as ownership consolidates among long-term holders, institutions and corporate buyers. This has reduced the influence of short-term speculation and improved overall stability, even as volatility persists. Bitcoin has remained resilient through recent turbulence, supported by steady institutional demand and continued accumulation. Analysts point to a clear return of large buyers, with ETF inflows and spot demand helping push prices back above $70,000 after weeks of range-bound trading. Data shows institutional conviction holding firm. Despite a sharp drawdown since late 2025, ETF outflows have remained limited compared to earlier inflows, signaling that investors are maintaining positions rather than exiting. This growing base of committed capital reflects a broader shift. Institutional investors entering the market today tend to have high conviction, often allocating with a long-term view rather than reacting to short-term price moves. Research also highlights the expanding role of ETFs and corporate treasury strategies in reshaping BTC ownership. Institutional vehicles now account for a meaningful share of supply, while a large portion of coins remains inactive, reinforcing the dominance of long-term holders. At the same time, on-chain data suggests the market may be in a late-stage bear phase, historically tied to accumulation. Analysts say current conditions point to continued consolidation, with long-term investors positioning for the next cycle. This post From $5 to $75,000: Bitcoin’s Saint Patrick’s Day Prices Shows You the Wild Ride of Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.