Key Takeaways


Trump’s public theatrics against the Fed, including pressuring Powell, targeting governors, and appointing Stephen Myron, show how monetary policy is now fully political. With U.S. interest costs surpassing $1 trillion and deficits at $2 trillion, the idea of an independent Fed is collapsing into a Treasury-Fed merger resembling a wartime economy. In this environment, Bitcoin stands alone as the only independent monetary policy, immune to political coercion, while institutions like Harvard signal its growing legitimacy by allocating to ETFs. At the same time, private innovation continues, Block’s new modular mining rig challenges the hardware duopoly and shows how Bitcoin infrastructure can advance regardless of state theatrics.

Best Quotes

“The global monetary system should not be beholden to the whims of theatrics between a sitting president and the Fed chair.”

“Bitcoin is the only truly independent monetary policy in the world right now, governed by math and physics, not politics.”

“Trump’s clearing house at the Fed shows us: meet the new boss, same as the old boss, different context, same consolidation of power.”

“There’s no Bitcoin CEO for the White House to bully. The U.S. government has to pay the market price like everyone else.”

“Harvard’s $100M ETF buy is a seismic signal. In the endowment world, Harvard is the BlackRock of higher education.”

“If Proto’s rigs really last 10 years with modular upgrades, that saves miners 20% on fleet refresh. That’s massive.”

Conclusion

The U.S. is drifting toward empire-style finance, where deficits, consolidation of power, and politicized Fed decisions undermine any pretense of independence. Bitcoin remains the only monetary system resistant to manipulation, offering certainty in contrast to political chaos. Institutional adoption and hardware innovation show that while governments tighten control, Bitcoin continues to grow outside their grasp, positioning itself as the neutral anchor for the future.

Transcript

(00:00) The following is forformational and entertainment purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. This discussion is a presentation by 1031, the leading institutional investor focused on the Bitcoin ecosystem. 1031 has over 10 years of experience in Bitcoin and has deployed nearly $150 million into the leading opportunities in the space. To learn more, visit 1031.vc.

(00:25) And uh it looks like it's about 3.1 billion. went up a little bit or a lot. Uh, so the 2.7 is now 3.1. I'm not aware of that. Yeah, it just came out. Yeah, I haven't heard that from anybody. Yeah, it just came out. Our about 3.1 as well. 31 3.2. This came from us. Yes. I don't know who does that. You're including the Martin renovation. You just added entire capital. Yeah, you just you just added in a third building is what that is.

(01:02) That's a third building. No, but it's it's a building that's being built. No, it's been it was built five years ago. We finished Martin 5 years ago. It's part of the overall work. It's not new. So, we're going to take a look. We're going to see what's happening. Uh, and it's got a long way.

(01:23) Do you expect any more additional costs? Don't expect them. Uh we're we're ready for them, but we we have a little bit of a reserve that we'll we may use, but no, we don't expect to be finished in 2027. Um I must admit, I saw a bunch of the clips on X and other parts of the internet. Never saw that part of the conversation. Didn't realize he was calling out line items of the renovation to him in person.

(01:48) Yeah. I I uh I gotta say some of the best whatever you think of Trump um and there there's a lot that can be said about Trump, the man has delivered some of the most iconic political moments of certainly this century. And I think that's that's a top fiverr for me without a doubt. It's so entertaining.

(02:12) I mean, I've I said before uh that I would have paid to see like big brother White House or something like when Joe Biden was in the the the White House just to like see what he was doing on a dayto-day basis. But I would probably pay more to see like big brother White House and just watch Trump all day. Brought in Tim Scott as the muscle to be like, "No, no, it's 3.1." Yeah. Right.

(02:37) who by the way doesn't have a hard hat on. Like the hard hats really make the whole thing that they're standing there in these hard hats and Tim Scott's right next to them with no hard hat. What's the what's the wardrobe choices? Like I mean the the theatrics behind it is uh you know it's something to behold. This is the setup for that.

(02:54) Like they're like okay we're going to we're going to put you on TV and just humiliate you in front of TV. So like get ready here here it comes. And we skip the part where he slaps his back at the end and says, "This guy's this guy's about to go lower interest rates." Um, some some really, you know, some some middle school uh hallway bully power games uh going on here.

(03:17) Well, it reminds me of the one there was one where he was in the was it was it the White House lawn where there was a lot of uh I think they were construction workers hanging around the background and uh they were going after Pal again or was that a different was that someone else? Yeah, we got uh I got lamb I think I talked about this I forget if it was here or RHR but I brought it up.

(03:41) We had cold opened with it on RHR and I made the uncou statement of why is uh why is Donald Trump asking construction workers about interest rate policy? It's probably not their core focus and had a bunch of construction workers on the YouTube comments saying, "Hey, I'm in construction and I understand interest rates." But yeah, that was a that was a scene as well.

(04:06) The fact that the fact that we can't even fully remember all the details of all the different times Trump has publicly uh limbasted or tried to humiliate or otherwise uh viciously critique the Fed chair. I think shows uh is a good indication of where we are right now with uh monetary policy in the US and its relationship to uh the rest of the government, the Treasury Department, etc.

(04:26) Yeah, it's a and just the news cycle, right? Because like when was this? This was It feels like forever ago. We put out our artisal alpha, you know, once every few weeks or once every month or we'll just see. But this seems like it was forever ago. I know it was it occurred since the last time we did Bitcoin Alpha. It was like, you know, a few a few days or maybe a week after the last episode of this.

(04:57) And I I remember um being very frustrated because I knew as soon as I saw it like that's the ultimate cold open and we just missed the chance to do it on the last one. So uh here we are back again and uh even though it's a few weeks old I think it's still it stands the test of time. It does and John I think you used the perfect word earlier theatrics.

(05:15) Uh and I think it's an incredible juosition of the world that we operate in and why we operate in this world. Many don't realize the global monetary system should not be beholden to the whims of the theatrics between a sitting president and sitting chairman of the Federal Reserve. That is essentially what we just witnessed was bullying tactics.

(05:39) For those who don't recall, they were there at the construction site as the government was trying to find a roundabout way to fire pal. Um, and I think at one point they were trying to pull the technicality of the Federal Reserve wasting money, taxpayer money with that that renovation they were doing on the reserve building in DC.

(05:58) Uh, theatrics, it's been happening between Powell and Trump since before Trump was even elected. And we're in the middle or tail end of the summer doldrums. I think this is like really the peak summer doldrums, but it ends next week. We've got Jerome Pal and others in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for their annual event.

(06:24) There will be no interest rate policy decisions made this month outside of some very extreme market volatility which doesn't look like it's going to materialize, but it's it's a pretty boring week. I think markets are down, Bitcoin's down, and I think it's just due to the overall uncertainty of the result of the theatrics that we've been seeing play out over the last 16 months.

(06:44) Yeah, I mean it's the theatrics word, you know, to stick with that. Um, I I do think is relevant to just kind of consider, you know, the the nature of where we are with the system. I think it's in some ways like instructive um for, you know, you could say Trump is violating norms and many people have made that um that case both in this in this term and his prior term.

(07:11) um and he's not, you know, respecting the the system and the way it's set up. Um, but I think it's it's interesting and notable that we this pulls back the curtain a little bit on the fact that this is a system where you know I think we have a it's easy to have a view especially coming from say mainstream academia from your college classroom um from working whether it's on Wall Street or corporate America a bunch of different kind of white collar jobs it's it's kind of very easy to imagine that the the men behind the curtain have uh

(07:42) have it all figured out And um you know they have all the dials properly calibrated and um you know they're they're sitting up there on uh you know Mount uh whatever Mount Olympus or Mount Marin Mariner Eckles building as the case may be in this in this situation and you know dispassionately evaluating every all the data flow that they're getting um and just making the the right decision at all the time or as right as possible based on the data they have with no kind